Down With the King
Anybody that follows basketball is aware that 2010 is a big year. Especially here in NY, where we are anticipating the arrival of a marquee free agent the likes of Dwayne Wade, Chris Bosh, Amare Stoudemire, Dirk Nowitski, Michael Redd and others. Really though, there is one player that everybody is focused on. LEBRON “KING” JAMES!!! Oh to imagine him putting it down in the big apple on a regular basis. For now it is a dream, but is the reality slipping further away? Possibly. ESPN has reported that Lebron James would consider playing in Europe if he is not satisfied with the contracts offered to him in the NBA. This has alot of red flags to it. First, the speculation of players going overseas to play has grown due to the age limit restriction employed by the NBA for high school athletes. Essentially, high school seniors must play one year of college basketball or turn 19 years of age until they are eligible to enter the NBA draft. This hurts the college game because coaches are recruiting players for one year. The colleges are not victims at all. Example, O.J. Mayo, a lottery draft pick this year was recruited in middle school and made a verbal commitment to play at USC in the 8th grade!! The trend for this year’s crop of incoming freshman, some of which are not academically qualified for admittance into a Division 1 school, are considering playing a year overseas until they are of age to enter the NBA draft. One example being, Brandon Jennings, the top point basketball recruit for 2009. He committed to Arizona, but did not qualify academically. Instead, he has signed a contract with the Italian Pro League. The same league, Danilo Gallinardi, the #1 draft pick of our NY Knicks, played in. It is also speculated that the top player in NYC, Lance Stephenson (Lincoln High), would follow Jennings to Europe (or enter the Army????), it is widely known that he may not qualify academically for college. These moves would have little impact on the NBA because ultimately these high school players want to make it back to the NBA.
Now, Lebron James going to play in Europe, that is serious business. Isn’t that what it’s about in the end. Lebron James is a business. The same way Michael Jordan was/is. Michael Jordan is the most recognizable athlete in the world!! The latest is that Lebron James wants in excess of $50 million a year from whatever NBA team makes an offer. A side note, Michael Jordan was paid $33 million for the 1997-98 season. Realistically, that is not possible, due to the salary cap that is imposed by the NBA. On the other hand, in Europe there is no salary cap. If some owner of a European Basketball League wants Lebron James, he can and will pay $50 million or more per year. The kicker in that, is that in the NBA, the Cavs, in this case, have the opportunity to match any offer given by another NBA team, but not to a European team.
One player that recently left the NBA to play overseas is Josh Childress, the former Atlanta Hawks player. He signed a contract of $30 million dollars (tax free) for 3 years with the Greek team Olympiacos. Josh Childress will not be a superstar player in the NBA. The NBA does have many foreign transports that could just as likely go back to Europe and make more money. Basketball is growing everywhere but in the USA. Count the amount of foreign starters compared to 10 years ago and you can say the game has changed. I say this now, but if, the USA does not win gold in the upcoming Olympics, expect to see the power of the NBA shift toward Europe.
My feeling is this. Lebron James wants to be a global icon and a successful businessman. It would put his face everywhere. Taking his game overseas will create such a draw to Europe and the world that other big time players will want to go where the money and the competition is. He could single handedly bring the NBA with him. Essentially, a good outcome could be a global league where the NBA creates a mega league spanning the globe bringing the best from all over the world to play together. A bad outcome is the NBA collapsing under the loss of talent. I will throw in one last thing, with the big betting/referee scandal still under investigation and the one referee given only 15 months in jail for what he did, I have to believe that he gave up alot of information to the feds which could impact the entire NBA. Fan confidence in the NBA is clearly down. What will happen if we find out that many games had been fixed. Will we still want to watch? Is this in the back of Lebron’s head, only he will know. He should consider this. One thing for sure, no matter how ugly those LBJ shoes are, keep them on ice, in a few years they could be gold.



































